Rafael's record shows that rare landfalls could occur during the November hurricane season

Where do storms usually form in November?

Most storms originate in the Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico and move north and northeast, while an east-moving low usually carries the storm away. Depending on the circumstances, this configuration often results in storms near the Florida Peninsula. This is also the case in October, although the number of storms in November is significantly lower.

Tropical systems become less common in November due to less favorable atmospheric conditions. Additionally, storms that do develop will have a harder time making landfall in the U.S. because cold fronts are more common during this time. These cold fronts can keep storms off the East Coast or confined to the Caribbean.

How many storms have formed this season?

There have been 17 named storms this hurricane season. Ten developed into hurricanes, three of which became major hurricanes

Where is Rafael?

Although November 30th marks the official end of hurricane season, we may not be done yet. According to NOAA's August forecast, this season could be “among the busiest on record.” Tropical activity typically tapers off after mid-October, but storms could continue into December this year.