Nolan Arenado trade to Astros offers solution to third base void

The Houston Astros may need to look for alternatives for their third base spot, especially if Alex Bregman departs this offseason. Given the weak free agent market and limited internal options, trading Nolan Arenado could be a viable strategy. Arenado is an accomplished player who is still capable of contributing despite a recent decline in performance. His contract offers a potentially cheaper option than retaining Bregman, and the Cardinals could be motivated to save on luxury tax costs. However, Arenado's age and recent performances raise questions about his future productivity.

Through the numbers

• Nolan Arenado had a .272/.325/.394 batting line in 2024.
• His contract is worth $21 million in 2025, $16 million in 2026 and $15 million in 2027.

Yes but

While trading for Arenado could meet the Astros' needs, his declining performance and no-trade clause complicate the situation. Additionally, the Astros would have to balance this with their small prospect pool, which could make it difficult to leverage a trade.

state of affairs

• Alex Bregman's future with the team is uncertain, which is why a solution at third base is needed.
• The Cardinals may be looking to reset their payroll, potentially making Arenado a trade target.

What's next?

The Astros could potentially pursue an Arenado trade, but will have to deal with the complexities of his contract and the Cardinals' expectations. Should Bregman leave, this scenario becomes more likely, especially if the Cardinals prioritize payroll flexibility.

Conclusion

For the Astros, trading for Nolan Arenado could be a strategic move to address their third base need, but that depends on whether the Cardinals prioritize cost savings over generating a significant potential return.