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    NOAA 2024-2025 Fall and Winter Forecast; what Wisconsinites can expect
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    NOAA 2024-2025 Fall and Winter Forecast; what Wisconsinites can expect

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    Wisconsin residents may wait a little longer to grab their snow boots as it looks like a rather mild and slightly wet fall, a weather pattern that could continue throughout the winter.

    Strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's annual U.S. winter forecast report from the Climate Prediction Center. The U.S. has a 74% chance of La Niña conditions, while the chance of it being a moderate event is 40%.

    According to the National Weather Service, La Niña events are the periodic cooling of sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific. This period usually occurs every 3 to 5 years, but can also occur occasionally. Last year, the U.S. dealt with El Niño conditions, which are the opposite of La Niña, meaning the ocean in the central and eastern Pacific warms to above-average sea surface temperatures.

    During La Niña events, the northern part of the United States typically experiences colder and stormier winter conditions, while the south is warmer and less stormy.

    What is the NOAA forecast for Wisconsin this fall?

    According to the NWS, it appears that across most of the state, particularly western, northern and southern Wisconsin, there is a 33% to 40% chance of temperatures being above normal this fall. On the state's eastern border, including northeastern Wisconsin, the likelihood of such temperatures is even higher, in the 40-50% range.

    Meanwhile, the entire state has the same chance of precipitation this fall. Equal odds means that the weather is unlikely to go in a particular direction because no one direction is favored. Below average precipitation is expected for the northern part of the Midwest and parts of Illinois and Iowa.

    What is the NOAA forecast for Wisconsin this winter?

    Much of the Midwest, including Wisconsin, appears to be in the equal opportunity bubble when it comes to milder or colder winter temperatures. Much of the state appears to have a 40-50% chance of precipitation above normal this winter.

    What about blizzards and blizzards?

    The NOAA winter forecast does not indicate how much precipitation will fall in the form of rain, snow or ice, but rather that overall is more or less likely. Snow forecasts depend on the strength and direction of winter storms, which generally cannot be predicted more than a week in advance, forecasters say.

    What does the Farmer's Almanac predict for winter in Wisconsin?

    According to the Farmer's Almanac, Wisconsin is expected to be in the “cold, wet and white” category for winter weather this year.

    On the map below, you can also see dark blue tones along the state's western borders, indicating cold and average snowfall this winter.

    Rashad Alexander can be contacted at [email protected] and 920-431-8214.

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