NFL playoff picture before Week 8

• Kansas City Chiefs want home advantage: According to PFF's simulations, the Chiefs have a 72% chance of securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

• Huge week for the Falcons: The Atlanta Falcons have a 77% chance of making the playoffs with a win in Week 8, but with a loss their chances drop to just 38%.

• Unlock your benefit with a PFF+ subscription: Get full access to all our seasonal offers fantasy Toolsalso weekly RankingsWR/CB matchup charts, weekly Projectionsthe start sit optimizer and more. Register now!

Estimated reading time: 10 minutes

As we approach November and more than a third of the way through the regular season, it's never too early to start looking ahead to the playoffs. So from this point forward, we'll be looking at the current and projected playoff picture each week.

The current situation before week 8

Current AFC playoff standings

1. Kansas City Chiefs (6-0)
2. Houston Texans (5-2)
3. Baltimore Ravens (5-2)
4. Buffalo Bills (5-2)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2)
6. Indianapolis Colts (4-3)
7. Denver Broncos (4-3)

Current NFC playoff standings

1. Detroit Lions (6-1)
2. Washington commanders (5-2)
3. Seattle Seahawks (5-2)
4. Atlanta Falcons (4-3)
5. Minnesota Vikings (4-2)
6. Green Bay Packers (4-2)
7. Chicago Bears (3-3)

If this ranking holds, we would welcome three new AFC teams (Steelers, Colts and Broncos) and five new NFC teams (Commanders, Seahawks, Falcons, Vikings and Bears) to the playoffs.

The projections

Of course, it's unlikely that the playoff picture will remain consistent for the rest of the season. And that's why it makes sense to look at it projected Playoff picture – the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.

The following charts show the projected playoff odds for each team as well as playoff leverage, i.e. how the playoff odds would change in the event of a win or loss.

The logos show that current Playoff chances. The dots to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, the dots to the left indicate the chances after a defeat.

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