It will remain mild this weekend as we head to the tropics

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) – A mostly dry, warm weekend will continue across the region. In the tropics we are tracking a subtropical storm and an area of ​​interest.

Tonight until Sunday evening

A quiet night ahead over Big Bend and South Georgia. With partly cloudy skies we will stay dry. Low temperatures will fall into the mid 60s.

High pressure will remain under control through the second half of the weekend. As a result, we expect another mostly dry, mild day. Highs on Sunday will reach the mid-80s with a mix of sun and clouds. A scattered shower is possible, but most of us will stay dry.

The calm weather will persist until Sunday night. Lows will be in the mid 60s with partly cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Start of the working week

Our copy and paste forecast will continue to kick off the new work week.

Temperatures will reach the mid to upper 80s on Monday with some sunshine. A scattered shower is possible here too, but the chance of rain remains very low. Overnight lows will be in the mid to lower 60s.

Tuesday looks mild and mostly dry for Election Day. With some sunshine, highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. We could see an isolated shower for Tuesday evening. Lows are back in the upper 60s.

Advanced forecast

We could see an increase in humidity across our region by the middle of next week.

The models aren't in much agreement at the moment, but spotty showers are possible for Wednesday and Thursday under partly sunny skies.

Highs will reach the mid 80s both days and lows will bottom in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

Trope update

Subtropical Storm Patty formed in the North Atlantic on Saturday morning. This system poses no threat to the United States.

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In the Caribbean we are monitoring an area of ​​interest with a high probability of tropical formation. The probability of Invest 97L forming is 70% in the next 48 hours and 80% in the next seven days.

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During Saturday afternoon's update, the National Hurricane Center said a tropical depression was likely to form in the Caribbean over the next few days.

The next name on the list is Rafael.

We are too far away to say details about the path, intensity and timing of this system, but let's talk about the current model data.

At this stage we usually consider two major global models: the GFS model (American) and the European model.

Both models show a tropical system moving into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week (November 6-7). However, there is some disagreement about the route and strength.

The GFS model shows a slightly stronger system moving further north. On the other hand, the European model shows a weaker system that remains further south.

Right now we're watching it closely, but (usually) the environment in the Gulf of Mexico in November is not as hospitable to strong tropical systems due to wind shear, dry air, and cooler water temperatures.

Hurricane hunters are scheduled to survey this area of ​​interest on Sunday. We'll keep you updated.

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