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Incumbent Fischer outlasts Osborn in Nebraska U.S. Senate race • Nebraska Examiner

Incumbent Fischer outlasts Osborn in Nebraska U.S. Senate race • Nebraska Examiner

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OMAHA — U.S. Sen. Deb Fischer of Nebraska survived an unexpectedly close race with registered bipartisan Dan Osborn on Tuesday, leaning on her GOP base to secure a third term.

The Associated Press called the race for Fischer late Tuesday. She was leading by almost five percentage points at midnight, with more rural votes coming in. Some early ballots were returned on Election Day and provisional ballots still need to be counted, but these are unlikely to change the outcome.

U.S. Sen. Deb Fischer, R-Neb., speaks to supporters at a campaign rally in Bellevue on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. (Aaron Sanderford/Nebraska Examiner)

Fischer had expressed confidence during the campaign that Nebraskans would reward her willingness to prioritize their needs, including agriculture and infrastructure, and would care less about quotes or national news.

On Tuesday, she said Nebraskans “are still voting for candidates who share their values.”

Her defenders had feared that her preference for working behind the scenes to draft and pass legislation, rather than spending more time promoting herself and her work, would align her with some Nebraskans who only get involved at election time concerned with politics.

“Nearly $30 million, that’s the amount of money out-of-state Democrats spent to buy a Nebraska Senate seat,” Fischer said. “It didn't happen. … They wasted their money.”

For several months during the election campaign, Fischer refused to recognize her opponent. She dismissed polls that suggested a close race as flawed and claimed her own internal polls showed a wide lead.

Late Tuesday, the race appeared headed for the narrowest margin of any Republican Senate candidate in Nebraska since 2000, as Republican Attorney General Don Stenberg lost to former Gov. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., 51% to 49%.

Osborn, an Omaha union leader known for leading the 2021 Omaha Kellogg's strike, struck fear into Fischer's campaign.

He did this largely by portraying himself as Nebraska's version of U.S. Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, a gruff, blue-collar type interested in keeping Congress focused on kitchen table issues.

Until late in the campaign, Osborn avoided giving concrete answers to his views on many policy issues, saying he would rather hear more from Nebraskans about what they want.

He criticized Fischer for increasing her personal wealth while in office, describing her in ads and on the ballot as a typical politician beholden to the whims of her biggest donors.

The Osborn crowd went from upbeat as a live country musician swayed along to somber as more numbers arrived around 10:30 p.m., showing Fischer coming out on top for the first time that night.

At 11:50 p.m., Osborn appeared for the first time of the night to address a group of supporters who were still present after Fischer gave her victory speech. Osborn said his campaign changed American politics.

“What is clear tonight is that people across Nebraska and across the country are angry,” he said. “People are being let down by the status quo. I’ll tell you what, we really challenged the status quo, didn’t we?”

Osborn said his team showed that a working-class movement was possible across the country, “ordinary people willing to take a stand against corruption and demand a seat at the working people's table.”

“We knew it was going to be close,” he said. “Holy shit, what a ride.”

Fischer served two terms in the Nebraska Legislature before being elected to the Senate in 2012. Previously, she served on the Valentine School Board. Her family owns a ranch near Valentine. She and her husband moved to Lincoln.

U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn meets with potential voters at a Big Red Keno in West Lincoln on Oct. 20, 2024. (Zach Wendling/Nebraska Examiner)

She and her deputies said Osborn was partly responsible for Kellogg's announcing it was closing its Omaha plant. Current union leaders rejected the idea that Osborn was responsible.

Fischer described him as a Democrat in sheep's clothing. She and her supporters spent millions on ads linking Osborn to liberal leaders, including U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont.

However, state and local election records showed that Osborn had been registered as a nonpartisan since at least 2004.

Osborn said he personally became more aligned with Democrats before 2016, but like many others in the union movement, he welcomed the Republican Party's openness to union members.

The race brought millions in outside money and interest to a state where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats about 2 to 1 and a quarter of registrants belong to neither party.

A clue to Fischer's vulnerability: Ending Spending, an outside group tied to Marlene and Joe Ricketts that helped Fischer win office in 2012, entered the 2024 race after polls suggested potential problems.

Another sign: The National Republican Senatorial Committee has also stepped in to boost her campaign. This group typically spends money on tough races in battleground states and open spots.

One of Fischer's biggest challenges has been energizing the Republican base at a time when some of them in the state and county GOP have been divided for months over whether to support the federal delegation.

Local political observers said Fischer cleverly highlighted her GOP roots and boosted her chances of winning by convincing former President Donald Trump to run an ad on her behalf.

Fischer, like U.S. Rep. Don Bacon, R-Neb., had frustrated Trump by voting for a bipartisan infrastructure bill under President Joe Biden. She had also criticized some of his statements in 2016. But Trump ultimately supported her.

Polls showed Osborn secured a larger share of the rural electorate in the 3rd District than most Democrats in statewide elections. He also did well in Omaha and Lincoln.

Some Democrats said Osborn hurt himself by first seeking and later declining the support of the Nebraska Democratic Party and some third parties. Osborn and his supporters also worked to keep other names away from third parties.

It was part of what Fischer and Osborn both described as a campaign's “political science experiment.” Osborn did not run on either the left or the right and would not say which party he would align with if he won.

For Fischer, the victory comes at a time of war in the Middle East and Europe, when she says the nation needs her experience as a ranking member of the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Responding to Osborn's criticism that she had broken her promise to serve only two terms, Fischer said she did so after realizing the importance of seniority following her term in the Senate. Osborn promised to serve only two terms.

On Tuesday, Fischer thanked Nebraskans for a third term.

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