In the poll, Democrats are ahead of two of four seats in the Iowa House of Representatives held by Republicans

Democrats may be able to flip two of Iowa's four House seats, according to a new poll.

The state's four House seats are currently controlled by Republicans.

Democrats have the upper hand in the 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts, while Republicans remain ahead among voters in the 2nd and 4th Districts, according to a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll.

In the 1st Congressional District, 53% of respondents said they would prefer the Democratic candidate, while 37% said they would vote or have already voted for the Republican.

Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan therefore has a 16-point lead over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the 2022 rematch.

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Miller-Meeks secured victory over Bohannan in 2022 by almost 7 percentage points.

“This race has always been highly competitive,” Miller-Meeks campaign spokesman Tyler Menzler said in a statement. “In 2020, Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by 6 votes and in 2022 by 7 points.”

“Just like yesterday, the final Selzer survey is in great contradiction to the reality on the ground,” said Menzler. “And not even the Democrats are buying it. On Tuesday, Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win the only poll that matters and be re-elected.”

Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, R-Iowa, speaks during a House Veterans Affairs Subcommittee hearing on Capitol Hill, Feb. 5, 2024. (MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows 48% of voters in the Third Congressional District prefer the Democratic candidate, while 41% said they voted or would vote for the Republican. Democratic challenger Lanon Baccam has a 7-point lead over Republican incumbent Zach Nunn.

“We are confident Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win because they have delivered strong results for their communities,” National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) spokesman Mike Marinella told Fox News Digital. “This poll is a clear outlier as voters are aware that career political activist Lanon Baccam and radical liberal Christina Bohannan are too out of touch for Iowa.”

Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, speaks with members of the press as he leaves a Republican caucus meeting in Washington, DC on Thursday, October 12, 2023. (Anna Rose Layden/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) had a different view of the poll.

“From the day Christina and Lanon launched their campaigns, it has been clear that Iowans are ready for change. That's why they've broken fundraising records, outperformed their opponents in every quarter and consistently led in polls,” a DCCC spokesperson told Fox News Digital. “Iowans know that Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn are out of step with Iowans by pushing an anti-abortion agenda and siding with their party bosses and special interest donors instead of helping middle class families. to move forward.”

In the 2nd Congressional District, 45% of respondents favor the Republican while 42% favor the Democrat. Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson has a three-point lead over Democrat Sarah Corkery.

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Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra has a 16-point lead over Democratic challenger Ryan Melton. The poll found that 53% of voters support the Republican in the 4th Congressional District, while 37% of voters support the Democratic candidate.

Rep. Ashley Hinson, R-Iowa, speaks on the topic “American Families Come First” at the Greenbrier Hotel in White Sulfur Springs, West Virginia, March 14, 2024. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

The poll marks the first time since September 2020 that Democrats have a national advantage in congressional voting. In the last poll in September, Republicans were in the majority statewide, 52% to 44%. Since then, Iowa voters have turned to Democrats. Democrats had a three-point lead in the 1st Congressional District in September, while Republicans were ahead in the three other races at the time.

Rep. Randy Feenstra, R-Iowa, questions Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young on March 29, 2022 in Washington, DC (Rod Lamkey-Pool/Getty Images)

The new poll was conducted Oct. 28-31 and surveyed 808 likely Iowa voters. This included people who had already voted or told pollsters that they would definitely vote.

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The margin of error was plus or minus 3.4 percentage points statewide and a maximum of plus or minus 7.2 percentage points for congressional districts.