Harris' lead over Trump is shrinking

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a near-drawn race, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll on Tuesday.

The poll of 1,150 adults nationwide, including 975 registered voters, conducted over three days ending Sunday, showed Harris leading Trump 44% to 43%. Among respondents most likely to vote, Harris led Trump 47% to 46%, according to Reuters.

Harris' one-point lead is within the poll's margin of error of about three percentage points.

Harris has led every Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters since July, when she entered the race in place of President Joe Biden, but the source reported that her lead has steadily narrowed since late September.

“Harris' slim lead over Trump may not be enough to win the election, even if it holds until November 5,” Reuters explained.

Trump did better in the polls on dealing with immigration and the economy, and Harris did better on dealing with political extremism, although her lead on that issue is also shrinking, according to Reuters.

What you should consider when taking surveys

A survey's margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

National polls typically indicate candidates' candidacy for the popular vote, but the election will likely be decided by seven swing states because of the Electoral College system. A recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll of swing states also suggests the candidates are in a tied race.

Kinsey Crowley is a featured news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected] and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

Harris' lead over Trump is shrinking

What you should consider when taking surveys

Similar Posts

Real Madrid – Dortmund direct | Real Madrid completed an incredible remontada to Dortmund with three words from a Vinicius star Football | Deported

Brush fire danger still high in Massachusetts, smoke in Boston area – NBC Boston

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Archives

Categories