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    Emerson/The Hill Swing State Presidential Election Poll: See results
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    Emerson/The Hill Swing State Presidential Election Poll: See results

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    The latest Emerson College/The Hill swing state poll shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris in a tight race for the White House as the candidates vie for victory in key battlegrounds.

    The poll showed Harris leading in Michigan, while Trump was ahead in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona. Statistically, the candidates in Nevada and Wisconsin were tied, although all polls were within their respective margins of error.

    The results come amid a slew of national polls that continue to predict a race that is too close to predict. Meanwhile, Harris was found to be leading Trump in Iowa, an unexpected reversal in a state where Democrats and Republicans alike believed a Trump victory was all but certain.

    As the candidates race to the finish line, Trump held a rally in North Carolina before traveling to Pennsylvania for two campaign stops and ending the day in Michigan. Harris, meanwhile, will wrap up her campaign in Pennsylvania with rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, followed by a concert in Allentown.

    What are the swing states? Check out the latest polls from places likely to decide the election

    Final swing state polls from Emerson show a close race

    The latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state polls released Monday continue to predict a race that will come down to the wire in seven battleground states.

    In Michigan, a poll of 790 people showed Harris with a two-point lead over former President Trump, 50% to 48%, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

    The race even takes place in Nevada and Wisconsin. A poll of 840 people showed a tie in Nevada at 48% (with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points), while 800 respondents in Wisconsin showed a tie between both candidates at 49% (with a margin of error of 3.4%).

    Trump has a one-point lead in Georgia (50% to 49%), North Carolina (49% to 48%) and Pennsylvania (49% to 48%), where 800, 860 and 1,000 people were polled, respectively. These results were within the margin of error in each survey, which ranged from 3 percentage points to 3.4%.

    In Arizona, a poll of 900 voters showed Trump leading Harris 50-48%, still within a 3.2% margin of error.

    The surveys were conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.

    A New York Times/Siena poll in the seven battleground states shows Harris has a possible path to victory

    The final New York Times and Siena College polls were released Sunday and show Harris ahead in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump was ahead in Arizona, although each result was within the margin of error.

    The polls were conducted among likely voters between October 24 and November 24. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters in battleground states with a margin of error of ±3.5% in each state.

    What you should consider when taking surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

    If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

    Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

    Contributor: James Powel, USA TODAY

    Eric Lagatta covers breaking and breaking news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

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