Current polls on Trump vs. Harris

As polls open across the United States, it's anyone's guess to win the race for the White House, based on the latest national polls.

Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris continue to wage an extraordinarily close battle for the presidency after both candidates spent the final hours of their campaigns winning over voters in key swing states. Now that Election Day is here, Americans from coast to coast will make their voices heard at the ballot box.

Many voters' decision-making is likely to be influenced by their views on who can best handle the economy, immigration, abortion and threats to democracy – key issues that matter to Americans in poll after poll.

Here's what you need to know about the latest national polls as Americans head to the polls:

In the Ipsos poll, Harris is just ahead of Trump

Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by two percentage points in the latest Ipsos Core Political poll released Monday.

The poll of 1,242 adults showed Harris leading Trump 50-48% as the election finish line approaches. The poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, had a margin of error of three percentage points.

On these issues, 42% of respondents prefer former President Donald Trump's approach to the economy and foreign conflicts, while 45% say he handles immigration best. Meanwhile, 42% of voters surveyed favor Harris' approach to health care, while 39% say she is best at dealing with political extremism or threats to democracy.

While most Americans, 57%, say they disapprove of the way President Joe Biden is doing his job, only 48% say the same about Vice President Harris. And when it comes to popularity, slightly more Americans (45%) say they have a generally positive view of Harris than Trump (42%). Harris' net favorability (-5%) is also higher than Trump's net favorability (-12). %) among all Americans.

Trump has a narrow lead over Harris in the latest TIPP poll

In the latest TIPP tracking poll released Tuesday, the race is even closer. It shows that Trump only has a lead of 0.3 points over Harris.

The poll of 1,863 likely voters showed Trump leading Harris 48.6% to 48.3%. The survey, conducted online from Saturday to Monday, has a margin of error of 2.3 points.

“Late-deciding voters often lean more toward the challenger than the incumbent, potentially giving Trump an advantage on the final day of the election, a common tendency among undecided voters who harbor doubts about the incumbent administration,” the poll said.

Harris leads Trump in the latest Marist/PBS/NPR national poll

In the latest national poll released by Marist on Monday, Harris has a four-point lead over Trump.

The poll of 1,297 likely voters, sponsored by NPR and PBS, found that 51% of respondents supported Harris while 47% supported Trump. The remaining 2% supported a third-party candidate. The result is outside the poll's margin of error of ±3.5 percentage points.

The poll found that Harris significantly narrowed Trump's lead among men nationally. Among men, Trump still leads the poll 51% to 47%, but in the previous iteration of the poll, Trump had a 16-point lead. Among women, Harris leads the poll 55% to 45%, although her previous lead was 18 points.

“Harris is well-positioned to win a majority of the vote for president but must navigate a narrow path to reach 270 in the Electoral College,” Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, in the survey release. “Former President Trump’s candidacy is being held back by his high disapproval among likely voters.”

Harris and Trump stuck in Forbes/HarrisX poll

In the latest national Forbes/HarrisX poll released late Monday, Harris and Trump are statistically tied.

Among the 4,520 registered voters surveyed, Harris has a razor-thin lead of 49 percent to 48 percent over Trump, with 3 percent favoring third-party candidates. When respondents were asked to make a choice only Between Harris and Trump, the vice president's lead grew slightly to 49-47%, with 4% undecided.

The survey was conducted online between October 30 and November 1 and has a margin of error of ±1%.

“Price increases/inflation” was one of the top issues for respondents, with 36% of respondents saying it was most important to them. Immigration and the economy followed with 32% and 31% of respondents respectively, putting them at the top of their list. Abortion was the fourth most important issue, with 16% of respondents saying it was one of their top issues.

“The race tomorrow will depend on turnout, especially for Trump,” Dritan Nesho, CEO and chief researcher at HarrisX, an analytics firm with no ties to Kamala Harris, told Forbes. “Trump has a history of outperforming polls in both 2016 and 2020 because of his ability to persuade low-propensity voters to show up and win over last-minute voters.”

What you should consider when taking surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

Trump has a narrow lead over Harris in the latest TIPP poll

Harris leads Trump in the latest Marist/PBS/NPR national poll

Harris and Trump stuck in Forbes/HarrisX poll

What you should consider when taking surveys

Similar Posts

Trump's victory in the White House is being called the “greatest political comeback in American history.”

Cleveland Guardians score against New York Yankees ALCS Game 1

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Archives

Categories