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US election results: Donald Trump's victory in maps and charts | US News

US election results: Donald Trump's victory in maps and charts | US News

5 minutes, 41 seconds Read

Donald Trump suffered a significant defeat against Kamala Harris and overtook the 270 electoral votes he needed with surplus states.

A win in Wisconsin got him over the finish line, but it was Mr Trump's victories in the key states of Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina – the three biggest battlegrounds – that presented Ms Harris with an insurmountable task.

Kamala Harris has yet to win a single one of the seven electoral votes, and Mr Trump is also likely to win the popular vote for the first time. This would be the Republicans' first election victory since 2004 and only their second since 1988.

The exit polls suggest that Mr. Trump will inherit an America that is increasingly divided along party lines and the biggest issues facing the country, but somewhat less so along demographic indicators such as race and age.

Black and Latino voters have supported Trump in larger numbers than before, while white voters and older voters – particularly women – have moved closer to Democrats.

Map visualization

Results in the remaining battlegrounds and a handful of other states are still pending. In 2016, Mr Trump's Electoral College score was 304 – he will surpass that number with victories in the states where he is currently leading.

County-level results nationwide are trending heavily in favor of Mr. Trump. In 90% of the districts that counted more than 95% of their votes, the vote went his way.

Map visualization

The key to victory for Mr. Trump was increasing the vote in areas with greater ethnic diversity. He increased his vote share by an average of nearly seven points in the counties with the highest nonwhite populations, compared to just two points in the counties with the most whites.

Chart visualization

This included a remarkable turnaround in Miami-Dade, Florida. Two-thirds of the county is Latino, putting it in the top 1% of the country. It's a huge county with over 250,000 voters, and the last Republican to win there was George HW Bush 36 years ago.

Trump himself lost there by 30 points in 2016.

Chart visualization

In North Carolina, Trump received the most votes in places with more than 20% black populations, while the vote share in counties with smaller black populations was little changed compared to 2020.

Chart visualization

That was enough for Trump to push back Nash County, where 41% of the population is black. The district has had razor-thin majorities since 2008, but this time Trump is ahead.

Chart visualization

In Pennsylvania, Trump performed best in areas with fewer white voters without college degrees — typically one of his key voter groups. This is partly because he had more room to grow in this group.

Chart visualization

So far we are aware of 45 counties that have switched between parties since their 2020 results. All but three have favored Mr. Trump. Seventeen of them had voted Democratic in every election since at least 2000.

Table visualization

What did the exit poll tell us?

The American public came into the election in a ruthless mood but divided about what their most pressing concerns were.

The exit poll conducted by Sky's US partner NBC News suggests a country unhappy with its current situation. This echoes many other countries that have held elections in recent years of high global inflation, many of which also responded enthusiastically by ousting incumbent governments.

Few on either side said they had made their decision in the last month – four out of five had already decided who they would vote for before September.

Two thirds of people think the country's economic situation is not that good or bad.

Chart visualization

A remarkable three quarters of people said in the exit poll that they were dissatisfied or angry about the way things were going in the country.

Chart visualization

And about 60% expressed their disapproval of the Supreme Court, while a similar number of people disapproved of the way Joe Biden is doing his job as president.

Harris voters rated “democracy” as the most important issue of their choice, while Trump supporters rated the economy and immigration more highly.

Chart visualization

The polling also shows us that Mr. Trump has sacrificed the support of some of his most trusted groups. Voters over the age of 65 supported Democrats this year after favoring Mr. Trump in the last two elections. He also lost the support of white women and white people without college degrees.

Chart visualization

Harris' lead in the polls also fell among some groups that had most ardently supported Biden. In addition to the massive decline among Latino voters, she lost votes among the youngest voters and women.

In a year when abortion was also on the ballot in 10 states, these two groups in particular were expected to be among Harris' strongest support groups.

Chart visualization

Use this tool to discover how voting trends have changed for other demographics.

Chart visualization

How have abortion rights evolved?

In addition to the election, voters in ten states also voted on whether the right to abortion should be enshrined and protected in the local constitution.

Voters in New York, Arizona, Nevada, Maryland, Missouri and Colorado, as well as in traditionally conservative Montana, voted to enact this law. South Dakota, a neighboring state to Montana, is the only state where a majority has voted against it so far.

Florida voters barely met the 60 percent threshold needed to pass the measure, even though a clear majority of people supported the right. It was the only state that required more than a simple majority to pass.

Nebraska voted to restrict abortions after the first trimester, but a separate vote in the state — in favor of abortion rights — is too close to call.

According to the exit poll, 92% of Democratic voters nationwide believed abortion should be legal, compared to 38% of Republicans.

Chart visualization

Aside from the issue of abortion, voters were also divided with their current president on the issue of immigration: 56% of people believed that undocumented immigrants should be offered the opportunity to apply for legal status.

What about the Senate and House of Representatives?

The Democrats have lost control of the Senate. They had a 51/49 majority in the election and have so far lost two seats to Republicans, in Ohio and West Virginia.

Defending their majority was always going to be difficult this year. The vacated seats were seats the party had won six years earlier in the 2018 “Blue Wave” midterm elections — midway through Trump’s first term.

The Republicans also made gains in the House of Representatives, where they already had a majority.

If they secure a majority there too, Donald Trump will begin his presidency with control of both legislative chambers, as he did in 2016.


The Data and forensics The team is a diverse unit dedicated to delivering transparent journalism from Sky News. We collect, analyze and visualize data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting capabilities with advanced analysis of satellite imagery, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we want to better explain the world and at the same time show how we do journalism.

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