Slotkin leads Rogers by 5 points in U.S. Senate poll: Free Press

In the race for Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, a new Free Press poll shows Democratic U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin with a 5 percentage point lead over Republican former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers, giving her what appears to be a small but fine margin given a lead. clear lead before election day next Tuesday.

The poll, conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing for the Free Press and its media partners, found Slotkin, a three-term congresswoman from Holly led by White Lake resident Rogers who left Congress after seven two-year terms in 2015, 47% –42%. Another 6% were leaning toward voting for a third-party candidate, and 4% were undecided, refusing to answer or saying they would not vote in the race.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. For the survey, EPIC-MRA contacted 600 randomly selected voters from across the state. In the pollster's most recent poll in August, Slotkin led 46% to 42%.

With control of the Senate at stake in this year's election, the race between Rogers and Slotkin has drawn national attention, with some polls, including one from USA TODAY and Suffolk University reported by the Free Press this week this is shown to be even tighter, but with Slotkin in front.

The seat became vacant when Democratic U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow said early last year that she would not run for a fifth six-year term. No Republican has won a U.S. Senate seat in Michigan since Spencer Abraham in 1994, who served one term before being defeated by then-Congresswoman Stabenow.

The poll found that of the 18% of all voters who cited abortion rights as their top concern, 79% supported Slotkin and 14% supported Rogers; Among the 30% who said inflation and the cost of living were their top concerns, Rogers fared better, with support from 66% of respondents, but Slotkin got 22%.

Rogers' support in the poll was broadly in line with that of Republican former President Donald Trump in the race against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, but fell slightly short of those numbers. For example, of the 13% of respondents who said immigration was their top concern, Trump received 90% to 6% support for Harris. Rogers, meanwhile, received the support of 82% of those voters, with 7% supporting Slotkin and 11% favoring a third party or remaining undecided.

The poll found that white voters were split down the middle, 46% to 46%; Among black voters, it was Slotkin who lagged Harris' recent poll numbers. While the vice president, the first woman, Black woman and woman of South Asian descent to run for president, led Trump in that key bloc 87-5%, Slotkin's support was 78-7%, with 15% undecided or preferring a third-party candidate.

Still, Slotkin had some obvious advantages. While Rogers held an 84% to 7% lead among self-described Republicans, she was ahead among Democrats, 90% to 4%, and the key group of independent voters joined her, 45% to 26%, with another 28% undecided or a third preferring the party candidate. And while Rogers, a former FBI agent and chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, had a 49% to 42% lead among men, Slotkin's lead among women was far larger, 52% to 37%.

Among the 31% of respondents who said they had already voted at the ballot box through early voting or absentee voting, Slotkin led Rogers 65% to 33%. He topped the 62% who expected to go to the polls in person, 49%-38%, but that included 13% who said they supported a third party or were still undecided.

Contact Todd Spangler: [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter@tsspangler

Slotkin leads Rogers by 5 points in U.S. Senate poll: Free Press

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