NFL 2024 Week 9 Betting: Colts-Vikings Odds, Picks, Lines

NFL Week 9 on Sunday concludes with a cross-conference matchup between two quarterbacks who have been valuable journeymen in the league in recent years. The Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings meet at US Bank Stadium (8:30 p.m. ET), while 16-year pro Joe Flacco will start at quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts after the team signed former first-round pick Anthony earlier this week benched Richardson.

Flacco, the 2023 NFL Comeback Player of the Year, will look to spark a Colts offense that has been stagnant with Richardson at the helm. He has already proven he is worthy of the task this season, throwing for 716 yards, seven touchdowns and just one interception in relief of Richardson this season. Meanwhile, the Vikings will look to bounce back from back-to-back losses to the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams in Weeks 7 and 8.

The Vikings started the week as seven-point favorites over the Colts, but then the line dropped to Vikings -5.5 after the Colts announced Flacco as the starter.

Here's everything you need to know to bet on Vikings-Colts.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Vikings -5.5
Money line: Vikings (-240), Colts (+200)
Over/Under: 46.5

Distribution in the first half: Vikings -3.5 (-105), Colts +3.5 (-125)
First half moneyline: Vikings (-190), Colts (+150)
Vikings total points: 26.5 (above -105/below -125)
Colts total points: 20.5 (above -110/below -1\20)

Andre' Snellings' favorite selection

Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions (even)

Jefferson has been extremely consistent as a producer, but he has slowly increased his earnings over the course of the season. He grabbed four receptions in each of his first two games, increased to six in each of his next three games, and after the bye, he grabbed seven and eight receptions in his final two games. On Sunday, Jefferson will face a vulnerable Colts defense that has three defensive backs on injured reserve and is allowing the ninth-most pass yards per game (227.8 yards/game) on the season. The Colts defense ranks 25th in the league in catch percentage allowed to opposing wide receivers (65.9%), and they also rank 29th in yards per target allowed (8.72 YPT ), which suggests Jefferson could be in for a big night overall, scoring a Good “Over” bet on all of his props this Sunday.

The props

Passing by

Sam Darnold total passing yards: 249.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Darnold's total number of passing TDs: 1.5 (above -135/below +105)
Joe Flacco's total passing yards: 249.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Total TDs passed by Flacco: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -155)

Rush

Aaron Jones Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (above -140/below +110)
Jonathan Taylor Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (Over -135/Under +105)

Reception

Justin Jefferson total receiving yards: 89.5 (above even/below -130)
Josh Downs total receiving yards: 69.5 (above -105/below -125)
Jordan Addison receiving total yards: 39.5 (above -125/below -105)
TJ Hockenson total receiving yards: 39.5 (above even/below -130)
Alec Pierce total receiving yards: 24.5 (above -105/below -125)
Aaron Jones total receiving yards: 24.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Taylor receives total yards: 14.5 (above -130/below even)

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Colts are 7-1 ATS this season, tied with the Commanders for the best record in the NFL. The Colts have played six straight games, their longest streak since 1992-93 (8) and their longest single-season coverage streak since 1980 (6).

• The Colts are 5-0 ATS underdogs this season.

• The Colts have played five straight meetings.

• The Vikings have been 8-15 ATS home favorites since 2020. Under Kevin O'Connell, they are 1-6 ATS as home favorites of at least 3.5 points.

• Sam Darnold is 6-12 ATS in his career as a favorite (2-2 ATS with the Vikings), including 2-6 ATS when scoring at least three points. Darnold was a six-point favorite at one point in his career (-8 with the Texans in 2021 with the Panthers – won by 15).

• The Vikings are 0-2 overall and ATS in their last two games (both as favorites) after starting 5-0 overall and ATS. The overs are 2-0 in Vikings losses and 1-4 in Vikings wins.

• Underdogs with at least six points are 21-12 ATS this season.

• The Unders in Sunday Night Football games are 32-12 over the past three seasons.

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