Donald Trump Leads in “Just One Swing State”: Latest NYT-Siena Poll

According to the latest Sienna College/New York Times poll before the election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in just one swing state.

The poll released Sunday shows Harris leading in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. The candidates are tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump is leading in Arizona.

Between October 24 and November 2, 7,878 likely voters were surveyed across the seven states, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 points within each state.

Sienna College/New York Times is one of America's most trusted pollsters. Pollster FiveThirtyEight ranks first on its list of 282 pollsters due to its historical track record and transparency. Polling analyst Nate Silver ranks the company among the top two polling firms and gives it an A+ grade.

Since the last round of NYT/Sienna polling in the battleground states, momentum has shifted toward Harris in Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina, three states where Trump previously led her but where she is now ahead.

In Pennsylvania, polls have risen in favor of Trump. The previous NYT/Sienna poll, conducted between Oct. 7 and Oct. 10, had Harris leading by four points in the Keystone State — now they're tied.

In Michigan, the results are unchanged: The candidates were tied in the previous poll conducted between Sept. 21 and 26, and they remain tied now.

In Wisconsin, Harris maintained her lead, and in Arizona, Trump maintained his lead.

This is a breaking news story and will be updated.