Here's who's ahead in the key battlegrounds of the 2024 election

north Carolina: Harris leads 48% to 47% (margin of error 4.5 points) in a CNN/SSRS poll released Thursday, an outlier among several other polls this week showing Trump ahead, including a Fox News poll showing him ahead 49% to 47% (or 50-49% without a third party), while he was ahead 50-48 in polls released last week by the Cooperative Election Study, Marist and Emerson College % is at the top. The FiveThirtyEight average shows Trump with a lead of 1.2 points.

Georgia: Trump has a lead of 48% to 47% (margin of error 4.7) in Thursday's CNN/SSRS poll, but is 51% to 46% and 49.9% to in the CES poll (2,663 respondents). 48.4% significantly higher. in last week's Bloomberg poll, although a Marist poll had them at 49% (margin of error 3.9), and a Washington Post poll (margin of error 4.5) had Harris leading 51% to 47 % is ahead. In the FiveThirtyEight poll average, Trump is ahead by 1.8 points.

Pennsylvania: It couldn't be closer – the candidates are at 48% in the Fox News and CNN/SSRS polls released Wednesday and 49% to 49% in a CBS/YouGov poll, while Trump is at 47% to 46% Harris leads 50% to 49% in a Quinnipiac poll and 49% to 48% when Fox News eliminates third parties. Monmouth found that Trump was up 47% to 46% among all registered voters, but Harris was leading 48% to 47% among voters who voted in most elections. Overall, Trump leads Harris by 0.4 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Michigan: Trump has a rare lead in a Washington Post poll released Thursday that shows him with a lead of 47% to 45%, although three other polls this week show Harris with a lead, including the Fox News poll that it showed an increase of 48% to 46% (although there is a tie at 49% with no third party), 51%-46% in the CES survey (2,336 respondents) and 48%-43% in the CNN/SSRS poll – while Trump leads 49%-48% in an Emerson poll poll released Tuesday (margin of error 3 points). Harris is up 1.1 points in Michigan according to the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Wisconsin: Harris leads Trump by 50-47% in the CES poll (1,542 respondents), 51-45% in the CNN/SSRS poll and 50-49% in a Marquette poll, while Trump is ahead by 49% Up 48% in an Emerson poll and the two candidates are tied at 48% in a Quinnipiac poll. Harris is up 0.7 points on the FiveThirtyEight average.

Nevada: Harris leads Trump 51% to 47% in the CES poll (933 respondents), while Trump leads 48% to 47% (margin of error 4.6 points) and Harris in a CNN/SSRS poll released Tuesday is ahead by 48.8% to 48.3 points in a Bloomberg poll from October 23 (margin of error 5). Harris is up 0.1 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Arizona: Trump is up 51% to 47% in the CES poll (2,066 respondents), and is ahead 50% to 49% (margin of error 3.7) in a Marist poll released Oct. 24 and 49 in a Washington Post poll % to 46% -Schar School poll (margin of error 5), while Harris is leading 48% to 47% in a CNN/SSRS poll this week (margin of error 4.4). Trump is up 2.2 points in the FiveThirtyEight poll average.