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Temperature forecast for November: Warm end to fall

Temperature forecast for November: Warm end to fall

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  • Above-average temperatures are expected for much of the Lower 48 in November.
  • The Plains and Midwest are expected to see temperatures farthest above average.
  • November could be slightly wetter in places where October was very dry.

Those hoping for more snow and cold weather to begin the season in November may have to wait, as the weather forecast is mild for much of the Lower 48.

The last full month of fall could be warmer than average across much of the central and eastern U.S A wide area from the Rocky Mountains to the Appalachians and New England are expected to experience above-average temperatures in November, according to the updated forecast released Wednesday by The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2.

Parts of the Midwest and Plains could see temperatures furthest above average, including from Minneapolis-St. Paul to Oklahoma City and Dallas-Fort Worth. All three of these cities have already recorded one of the top 10 warmest fall falls as of October 28, with the Twin Cities on track to experience its warmest fall on record.

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Temperature outlook for November

The mild forecast doesn't mean there won't be cold fronts that will bring cooler days at times. But your heating system may be under less demand than usual before winter.

Temperatures will be closer to average on the west and east coasts. Temperatures near or slightly above average are forecast for locations from New York City south to Florida. The Southwest could be slightly below average, while the Northwest could be slightly above average.

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A dry October could give way to a slightly wetter November in the Midwest. Precipitation could be near or slightly above average in the new month from the Great Lakes to the Ohio and Mid-Mississippi valleys and parts of the Central and Southern Plains. That would be a change from one of the driest Octobers yet in many cities in these regions.

The southeastern and northwestern corners of this country may have the best chance of being drier than average in November.

Rainfall outlook for November

Average temperatures in November mark the beginning of the transition to winter. Average highs typically range from the 30s to 40s in the northern area and the 60s and 70s across most of the south.

(​MORE: Watch average temperatures get colder from November to January)

In the northern states and the Rocky Mountains, temperatures typically drop to temperatures around 15, 20 and 30 degrees. To the south, lows will fall into the 30s, 40s, 50s and a few 60s in South Florida.

Chris Dolce has been a senior meteorologist at Weather.com for over 10 years, having started his career at The Weather Channel in the early 2000s.

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