Donald Trump is shockingly ahead of Kamala Harris in the New Hampshire poll

Donald Trump has taken the lead in a poll in New Hampshire, his first lead in the state since President Joe Biden ended his re-election bid in July.

The latest New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll, released Sunday evening, showed the former president winning 50.2 percent of the vote, a razor-thin lead over Vice President Kamala Harris's 49.8 points.

Between October 24th and 26th, 622 registered voters in New Hampshire were surveyed. Trump's lead of 0.4 points is well within the poll's weighted margin of error of +/- 5.12 percent. However, it is still Trump's first lead in the Granite State since he was one point ahead of Joe Biden in another New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll in July, days before Biden dropped out.

Newsweek contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns via email seeking comment.

In the race for governor, Republican Kelly Ayotte continues to have a modest but steady lead. In the New Hampshire Journal poll, she leads Democrat Joyce Craig 52 percent to 48 percent.

Harris has now won every other poll in New Hampshire since she became the presumptive Democratic nominee, including the most recent poll by The Dartmouth Poll, conducted between October 5 and October 18, in which she led by a massive 21 points was at the top (Harris 59 points, Trump 38). points). This poll surveyed 2,211 registered New Hampshire voters.

But Emerson College released a poll last week that shows Harris ahead by just three points, and combined with the latest New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll, the data is starting to suggest the race is tightening.

New Hampshire, considered one of the most conservative states in the northeastern United States, voted against Trump in both 2016 and 2020. The last time it supported a Republican for president was when it voted for George W. Bush in 2000.

Betting odds website Polymarket currently gives Harris an 80 percent chance of winning the state.

Despite the long odds, Trump's campaign team was determined to view New Hampshire as a winnable state throughout the 2024 election campaign.

In September, the campaign fired a volunteer who warned in an email that New Hampshire was “no longer a battleground state” and instead said the campaign should focus its efforts and resources on winning Pennsylvania.

The Trump campaign's national press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, a New Hampshire native, said earlier Newsweek that Harris had little support in the Granite State.

“Granite Staters will not vote for the dangerously liberal Kamala Harris, whose policies as vice president increased our energy bills and created the most unaffordable real estate market in New Hampshire history,” Leavitt said.